Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 20/08, 01:00
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alan Magadan
0–1
Alex Hernandez
(1 last)
- 27 Jul0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1538 · Alex Hernandez 1474
| Alan Magadan | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1538 vs 1474).
- Head-to-head: Alan Magadan 0–1 Alex Hernandez (1).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.2 | 9.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Alan Magadan 0 – 1 Alex Hernandez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alan Magadan 0–1 Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 ATP Los Cabos | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Garrett Johns ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alex Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 61% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.