Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 19/08, 19:00
Prediction: Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Edward Winter · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Edward Winter
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter
7-3 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1575 · Gonzalo Bueno 1563
| Edward Winter | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Edward Winter | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.2 | 11.7-11 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tiago Pereira ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Francisco Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 51% to Edward Winter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.