Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rei Sakamoto
0–3
Luca Van Assche
(3 last)
- 08 Apr0-2 8-13L
- 10 Mar0-2 9-13L
- 18 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1530 · Luca Van Assche 1548
| Rei Sakamoto | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rei Sakamoto 0–3 Luca Van Assche (3).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-12.7 | 14.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Rei Sakamoto 0 – 3 Luca Van Assche (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rei Sakamoto 0–3 Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Challenger Monza | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/03/26 Challenger Cap Cana | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06/25 Challenger Sassuolo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Gustavo Heide ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 55% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.