Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jesper De Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Jesper De Jong · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesper De Jong
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jesper De Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesper De Jong 1507 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1474
| Jesper De Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jesper De Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13 | 11.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 26.7% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesper De Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Rinky Hijikata Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 16/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesper De Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 56% to Jesper De Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.