Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer
Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Glinka
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka
7-3 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1541 · Elias Ymer 1472
| Daniil Glinka | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Glinka (rating 1541 vs 1472).
- Note: Daniil Glinka makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.7 | 9.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 10 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Mac Visser ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 54% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.