Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: Stefanos Sakellaridis · Ugo Blanchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1540 · Ugo Blanchet 1473
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1540 vs 1473).
- Stefanos Sakellaridis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 13.3-14.4 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 14 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Henri Squire Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 61% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.