Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino
Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Andrea Pellegrino
Prediction summary
Winner
Zizou Bergs
Andrea Pellegrino
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs
4-6 (W-L)
Andrea Pellegrino
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zizou Bergs
1–0
Andrea Pellegrino
(1 last)
- 08 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1507 · Andrea Pellegrino 1504
| Zizou Bergs | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Zizou Bergs 1–0 Andrea Pellegrino (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-14.2 | 11.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Zizou Bergs 1 – 0 Andrea Pellegrino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zizou Bergs 1–0 Andrea Pellegrino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/22 Challenger Cherbourg | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Andrea Pellegrino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Our model gives 66% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.