Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Shintaro Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Shintaro Mochizuki
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Shintaro Mochizuki
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1544 · Shintaro Mochizuki 1503
| Soonwoo Kwon | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1544 vs 1503).
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Shintaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12 | 10.9-12.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
Shintaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Our model gives 64% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.