Tennis · M25 Santander · 19/08, 10:30
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Sergi Fita Juan
Team pages: Pedro Vives Marcos · Sergi Fita Juan
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Vives Marcos
Sergi Fita Juan
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Vives Marcos
7-3 (W-L)
Sergi Fita Juan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1575 · Sergi Fita Juan 1526
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1575 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.7 | 10.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Edoardo Betti M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Valerio Bracci M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/03 | Antoni Fabre M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Sergi Fita Juan?
Our model gives 71% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.