Tennis · M25 Santander · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Team pages: Sergi Fita Juan · Alejandro Juan Mano
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Alejandro Juan Mano
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Juan Mano
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergi Fita Juan
0–2
Alejandro Juan Mano
(2 last)
- 11 Nov0-2 5-12L
- 30 May0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1518 · Alejandro Juan Mano 1573
| Sergi Fita Juan | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Juan Mano (rating 1518 vs 1573).
- Head-to-head: Sergi Fita Juan 0–2 Alejandro Juan Mano (2).
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.2 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Sergi Fita Juan 0 – 2 Alejandro Juan Mano (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergi Fita Juan 0–2 Alejandro Juan Mano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/25 ITF M15 LPD Gran Canaria | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05/23 ITF M25 La Nucia | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Santander |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Alejandro Juan Mano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Sander Jong M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Max Van Nunen M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Alejandro Juan Mano?
Our model gives 62% to Alejandro Juan Mano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.