Tennis · M25 Santander · 19/08, 12:30
Prediction: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
Team pages: Carlos Lopez Montagud · Sergio Planella Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Sergio Planella Hernandez
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Lopez Montagud
7-3 (W-L)
Sergio Planella Hernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1581 · Sergio Planella Hernandez 1451
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Sergio Planella Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Lopez Montagud (rating 1581 vs 1451).
- Carlos Lopez Montagud is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Sergio Planella Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.4 | 8.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Sergio Planella Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Fernando Fontan Pardo De Santayana M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Carles Cordoba M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 14/06 | Eneko Gonzalez Huerga M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergio Planella Hernandez?
Our model gives 77% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.