Tennis · M25 Santander · 20/08, 12:30
Prediction: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri
Team pages: Carlos Lopez Montagud · Sergi Perez Contri
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Sergi Perez Contri
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Lopez Montagud
8-2 (W-L)
Sergi Perez Contri
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlos Lopez Montagud
4–1
Sergi Perez Contri
(5 last)
- 20 Jul2-1 18-17W
- 08 Nov2-1 16-9W
- 19 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 21 Jul0-2 11-14L
- 23 Apr2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1594 · Sergi Perez Contri 1542
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Lopez Montagud (rating 1594 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Carlos Lopez Montagud 4–1 Sergi Perez Contri (5).
- Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9 | 11.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Carlos Lopez Montagud 4 – 1 Sergi Perez Contri (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Lopez Montagud 4–1 Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 M25 Gandia | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/11/23 ITF M25 Benicarlo | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/10/23 ITF M15 Castellon | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07/23 M25 Gandia | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/04/18 ITF Spain F10 Qual | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Lopez Montagud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Santander |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri?
Our model gives 51% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.