Tennis · M25 Santander · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ignacio Parisca Romera vs Ivan Gakhov
Team pages: Ignacio Parisca Romera · Ivan Gakhov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Ivan Gakhov
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Parisca Romera
4-6 (W-L)
Ivan Gakhov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1537 · Ivan Gakhov 1456
| Ignacio Parisca Romera | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Parisca Romera (rating 1537 vs 1456).
- Ignacio Parisca Romera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ivan Gakhov makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ignacio Parisca Romera | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.1 | 10.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 69% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Xavi Palomar M25 Santander |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 17/03 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Murcia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Thionville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ignacio Parisca Romera vs Ivan Gakhov?
Our model gives 51% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.