Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 10:30
Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Dmitry Bessonov
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Dmitry Bessonov
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Dmitry Bessonov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1485 · Dmitry Bessonov 1426
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Dmitry Bessonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mario Arce Fernandez (rating 1485 vs 1426).
- Mario Arce Fernandez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Dmitry Bessonov makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Dmitry Bessonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.9 | 10.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ognjen Jagrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Dmitry Bessonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Sehaj Singh Pawar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/04 | James Beaven M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/04 | Daniel Siniakov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/02 | Yua Taka M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/12 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/12 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/12 | Raghav Jaisinghani ITF M15 Gwalior |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Dmitry Bessonov?
Our model gives 65% to Mario Arce Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.