Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 28/08, 12:30
Prediction: Andrea Motta vs Antoni Fabre
Team pages: Andrea Motta · Antoni Fabre
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Motta
Antoni Fabre
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Motta
5-5 (W-L)
Antoni Fabre
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Motta 1490 · Antoni Fabre 1536
| Andrea Motta | Antoni Fabre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antoni Fabre (rating 1490 vs 1536).
Statistics
| Andrea Motta | Antoni Fabre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.6 | 9.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Motta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 25/08 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maksim Despotovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ansar Niyetkaliyev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 27/07 | Rafael Giotis M15 Astana |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 10/02 | Vlad Andrei Dancu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
Antoni Fabre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Amaury Raynel M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Damien Salvestre M15 Strasbourg |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Motta vs Antoni Fabre?
Our model gives 67% to Antoni Fabre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.