Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Branko Djuric vs Mario Arce Fernandez

Team pages: Branko Djuric · Mario Arce Fernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Branko Djuric Mario Arce Fernandez
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Branko Djuric 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Mario Arce Fernandez 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Branko Djuric 1544 · Mario Arce Fernandez 1542
Branko DjuricMario Arce Fernandez
Our model50%50%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Branko DjuricMario Arce Fernandez
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.6-9.210-8.4
Aces4.41.4
Double faults2.52.7
1st serve %77.3%68%
Break %40.8%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Branko Djuric

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Maties Torres Ramis
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-2 W
12/08 Stefan Horia Haita
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
29/07 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Pedro Vives Marcos
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
23/07 Marko Milosavljevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/06 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-15 W
27/06 Alvaro Peiro Serrano
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Novak Novakovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
25/06 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Mario Arce Fernandez

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Ognjen Jagrovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Dmitry Bessonov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/08 Ognjen Jagrovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 8-8 W
30/07 Carlos Lopez Montagud
M15 Xativa
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Xativa
2-0 10-6 W
28/07 Xavier Ferrer Mateo
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Denia
0-2 8-12 L
22/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Denia
2-1 15-13 W
21/07 Edouard Villoslada
M25 Denia
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Branko Djuric vs Mario Arce Fernandez?

Our model gives 70% to Branko Djuric, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.