Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Aleksa Oparnica vs George Lazarov

Team pages: Aleksa Oparnica · George Lazarov

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Aleksa Oparnica George Lazarov
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Oparnica 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWW
George Lazarov 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aleksa Oparnica 1522 · George Lazarov 1542
Aleksa OparnicaGeorge Lazarov
Our model47%53%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Aleksa OparnicaGeorge Lazarov
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.2-0.6
Games (G-P)9.9-8.99.2-6.8
Aces1.31.1
Double faults3.71.8
1st serve %65.7%63.7%
Break %43.6%40.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aleksa Oparnica

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 10-4 W
25/08 Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Egor Khotchenkov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
11/08 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Tim Vaisman
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Nikola Jovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
26/06 Ander Tarrio Ponte
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Valeriy Martishev
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 David Knesl
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-1 16-14 W

George Lazarov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Marko Nikolic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-1 9-6 W
13/08 Alexander Vasilev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-1 1-6 L
12/08 Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/08 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/08 Dominik Kellovsky
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
02/08 Daniele Rapagnetta
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Gabriel Ghetu
M25 Pitesti
1-1 14-15 L
30/06 Dusan Obradovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-1 2-6 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aleksa Oparnica vs George Lazarov?

Our model gives 72% to George Lazarov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.