Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Veljko Krstic vs Renaud Lefevre

Team pages: Veljko Krstic · Renaud Lefevre

Prediction summary
Winner
83% 17%
Veljko Krstic Renaud Lefevre
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Veljko Krstic 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWLW
Renaud Lefevre 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veljko Krstic 1623 · Renaud Lefevre 1443
Veljko KrsticRenaud Lefevre
Our model74%26%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veljko Krstic (rating 1623 vs 1443).
  • Veljko Krstic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Renaud Lefevre makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Veljko KrsticRenaud Lefevre
Win %90%20%
Win % · Clay 90% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.30.6-1.6
Games (G-P)11.5-69.4-12.3
Aces1.13.3
Double faults1.45.9
1st serve %68.1%64%
Break %59.7%40.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veljko Krstic

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Pavlo Bodnarchuk
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/08 Bor Artnak
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 10-12 W
06/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Artur Kukasian
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
01/08 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
31/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
30/07 Samuil Chestovaliev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
29/07 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Walid Ahouda
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Renaud Lefevre

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Simone Massucco
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/08 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
19/05 Omar Kandil
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
11/05 Vincent Dullinger
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
01/02 Alexander Park
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
31/01 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/01 Miles Clark
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
28/01 Arin Pallegar
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
27/01 Hugo Hashimoto
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/10 Naara Shin
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 17-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veljko Krstic vs Renaud Lefevre?

Our model gives 83% to Veljko Krstic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.