Prediction: Luca Parenti vs Blu Baker
Team pages: Luca Parenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Parenti
Blu Baker
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Parenti
6-4 (W-L)
Blu Baker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Parenti 1489 · Blu Baker 1551
| Luca Parenti | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1489 vs 1551).
- Blu Baker is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Parenti | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.7 | 11.7-7.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Parenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Giulio Stella M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Filippo Busciola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Blu Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Reece Falck UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabriel Jessup UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 22/04 | Matthew Segura M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/04 | Donald Nikolas Stoot M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Parenti vs Blu Baker?
Our model gives 68% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.