Prediction: Alessandro Spadola vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Alessandro Spadola · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Spadola
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Spadola
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alessandro Spadola
0–1
Lorenzo Rottoli
(1 last)
- 04 Aug1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Spadola 1501 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1486
| Alessandro Spadola | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alessandro Spadola 0–1 Lorenzo Rottoli (1).
Statistics
| Alessandro Spadola | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.3 | 11.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Alessandro Spadola 0 – 1 Lorenzo Rottoli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alessandro Spadola 0–1 Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/26 M25 Fano | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Spadola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Jakub Hrynkiewicz M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | William Mirarchi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Denis Klok M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Spadola vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.