Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Laurent Lokoli
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Laurent Lokoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Laurent Lokoli
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1454 · Laurent Lokoli 1611
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1454 vs 1611).
- Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (11.1/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.1 | 12.3-6.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 11.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gabriele Mellerio M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Filippo Catalano M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 07/07 | Szymon Podczaszy M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 14/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Laurent Lokoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Martin Riu M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Laurent Lokoli?
Our model gives 81% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.