Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 19/08, 00:30
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1530 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1531
| Gauthier Onclin | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.8 | 12.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 27.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francisco Comesana Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 59% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.