Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 20/08, 03:30
Prediction: Alexey Shtengelov vs Jera Staley
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Shtengelov
Jera Staley
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Shtengelov
1-9 (W-L)
Jera Staley
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Shtengelov 1395 · Jera Staley 1524
| Alexey Shtengelov | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1395 vs 1524).
- Jera Staley is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alexey Shtengelov makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alexey Shtengelov | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-13.4 | 9.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 31% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Shtengelov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Chase Zhao UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Rohan Hazratwala UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliver Welch UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Harrison Gold UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Shtengelov vs Jera Staley?
Our model gives 75% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.