Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 23:00
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Dali Blanch · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
6-4 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1466 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1611
| Dali Blanch | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1466 vs 1611).
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12 | 13.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Samuel Zannoni Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Bastian Malla M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 64% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.