Tennis · M25 Santander · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Pablo Aunion vs Sergi Perez Contri
Team pages: Pablo Aunion · Sergi Perez Contri
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Aunion
Sergi Perez Contri
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Aunion
5-5 (W-L)
Sergi Perez Contri
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pablo Aunion
0–1
Sergi Perez Contri
(1 last)
- 17 Jun1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Aunion 1510 · Sergi Perez Contri 1550
| Pablo Aunion | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergi Perez Contri (rating 1510 vs 1550).
- Head-to-head: Pablo Aunion 0–1 Sergi Perez Contri (1).
- Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Pablo Aunion | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-8.9 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Pablo Aunion 0 – 1 Sergi Perez Contri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pablo Aunion 0–1 Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 M15 Mungia-Laukariz | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Aunion
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Keanu Elias Immler M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximilian Figl M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Marc Martin Roca M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Denis Klok M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Aunion vs Sergi Perez Contri?
Our model gives 68% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.