Prediction: Daniel Bagnolini vs Gregorio Biondolillo
Team pages: Daniel Bagnolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Bagnolini
Gregorio Biondolillo
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Bagnolini
5-5 (W-L)
Gregorio Biondolillo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Bagnolini 1436 · Gregorio Biondolillo 1540
| Daniel Bagnolini | Gregorio Biondolillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gregorio Biondolillo (rating 1436 vs 1540).
- Gregorio Biondolillo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Daniel Bagnolini makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Bagnolini | Gregorio Biondolillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.5 | 11-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 45% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Bagnolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/05 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Max Kohler M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
Gregorio Biondolillo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Oleg Tyagunov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Georgios Nouchakis M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Kacper Knitter M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Roman Valetov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/04 | Noah Lopez M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Andrea Zanini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/02 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Bagnolini vs Gregorio Biondolillo?
Our model gives 52% to Gregorio Biondolillo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.