Tennis · M25 Lesa · 18/08, 12:30

Prediction: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Jacopo Antonelli

Team pages: Denis Constantin Spiridon

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Denis Constantin Spiridon Jacopo Antonelli
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Constantin Spiridon 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Jacopo Antonelli 2-8 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Denis Constantin Spiridon 1500 · Jacopo Antonelli 1407
Denis Constantin SpiridonJacopo Antonelli
Our model63%37%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denis Constantin Spiridon (rating 1500 vs 1407).
  • Denis Constantin Spiridon is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Jacopo Antonelli makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Denis Constantin SpiridonJacopo Antonelli
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 100% (3) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.5-1.7
Games (G-P)10.1-10.87.8-12.5
Aces2.91.5
Double faults2.56.3
1st serve %66.1%58.8%
Break %36.5%25%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denis Constantin Spiridon

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Fano
0-2 7-13 L
28/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-1 11-10 W
21/07 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Segrate
1-2 12-15 L
10/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Tristan Berard
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
23/06 Hugo Car
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/05 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Jacopo Antonelli

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Gabriel Sardo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
09/06 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/06 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
08/03 Otso Martikainen
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 9-13 L
07/03 Felix Einig
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-15 W
06/03 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 4-12 L
05/03 Jan Wygona
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
1-2 14-18 L
04/03 Joachim Szamborski
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-6 W
02/03 Niels Lootsma
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 5-12 L
15/02 Kasra Rahmani
M25 Trento · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Jacopo Antonelli?

Our model gives 78% to Denis Constantin Spiridon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.