Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Parth Aggarwal vs Alessandro Bellifemine
Team pages: Parth Aggarwal · Alessandro Bellifemine
Prediction summary
Winner
Parth Aggarwal
Alessandro Bellifemine
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Parth Aggarwal
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandro Bellifemine
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Parth Aggarwal 1502 · Alessandro Bellifemine 1545
| Parth Aggarwal | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandro Bellifemine (rating 1502 vs 1545).
Statistics
| Parth Aggarwal | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.6 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parth Aggarwal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Loris Gander M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Florian Broska M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kabir Hans Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Franco Ribero Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Guelord Kayombo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/04 | Romain Azais M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alessandro Bellifemine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Artur Kukasian M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Nemanja Sapic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kostic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parth Aggarwal vs Alessandro Bellifemine?
Our model gives 70% to Alessandro Bellifemine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.