Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 18:30
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Pedro Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
8-2 (W-L)
Pedro Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1572 · Pedro Martinez 1484
| Evan Zhu | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1572 vs 1484).
- Evan Zhu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.1 | 10.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Joshua Peck M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | David Jorda Sanchis ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model gives 53% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.