Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 18/08, 18:30
Prediction: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Dusan Lajovic · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Lajovic
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Lajovic
5-5 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dusan Lajovic
2–1
Taro Daniel
(3 last)
- 19 Apr1-2 13-15L
- 08 Mar2-0 13-10W
- 07 Oct2-1 18-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Lajovic 1513 · Taro Daniel 1578
| Dusan Lajovic | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1513 vs 1578).
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dusan Lajovic 2–1 Taro Daniel (3).
Statistics
| Dusan Lajovic | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-15.6 | 12.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Dusan Lajovic 2 – 1 Taro Daniel (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dusan Lajovic 2–1 Taro Daniel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/22 ATP Belgrade | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/03/19 ATP Indian Wells | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10/17 ATP Shanghai Qual | 2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | James McCabe Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 50% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.