Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 19:20
Prediction: Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Tyler Zink
Team pages: Lucas Andrade da Silva · Tyler Zink
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Tyler Zink
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Andrade da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Tyler Zink
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1594 · Tyler Zink 1499
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1594 vs 1499).
- Lucas Andrade da Silva dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 44% break avg.
- Lucas Andrade da Silva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.4 | 13.7-13.7 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 44% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mateus Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Tyler Zink?
Our model gives 56% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.