Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: James Watt vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: James Watt · Ugo Blanchet
Prediction summary
Winner
James Watt
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
James Watt
5-5 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Watt 1499 · Ugo Blanchet 1444
| James Watt | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Watt (rating 1499 vs 1444).
Statistics
| James Watt | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12 | 12.3-14.3 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 13.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Evans Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Andres Martin Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Andrej Nedic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Henri Squire Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Cristian Garin ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Watt vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 52% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.