Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Matias Reyniak
Team pages: Rafael Izquierdo Luque · Matias Reyniak
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Matias Reyniak
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
4-6 (W-L)
Matias Reyniak
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
1–0
Matias Reyniak
(1 last)
- 12 Aug2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1484 · Matias Reyniak 1532
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Matias Reyniak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matias Reyniak (rating 1484 vs 1532).
- Head-to-head: Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1–0 Matias Reyniak (1).
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Matias Reyniak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.4 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1 – 0 Matias Reyniak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1–0 Matias Reyniak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 M25 Idanha-A-Nova | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Matias Reyniak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lefteri Apostolou M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Arda Azkara M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Matias Reyniak?
Our model gives 65% to Rafael Izquierdo Luque, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.