Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
3-7 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tiago Cacao
1–1
Goncalo Marques
(2 last)
- 18 Jul2-1 18-17W
- 05 May1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1546 · Goncalo Marques 1586
| Tiago Cacao | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goncalo Marques (rating 1546 vs 1586).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 12.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Tiago Cacao 1 – 1 Goncalo Marques (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiago Cacao 1–1 Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 M15 Castelo Branco | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 05/05/26 M25 Loule | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
Goncalo Marques
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 57% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.