Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Maxwell McKennon
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Maxwell McKennon
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Maxwell McKennon
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Maxwell McKennon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1474 · Maxwell McKennon 1463
| Mathieu Scaglia | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.8 | 9.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Maxwell McKennon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Samim Filiz Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Luke Hooper M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Maxwell McKennon?
Our model gives 64% to Maxwell McKennon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.