Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 18/08, 10:30
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Benjamin Pietri
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Benjamin Pietri
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Benjamin Pietri
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Benjamin Pietri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1614 · Benjamin Pietri 1529
| Pavel Lagutin | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1614 vs 1529).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Pietri makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6 | 11.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Benjamin Pietri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Alafia Ayeni M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Julio Cesar Porras M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lui Maxted M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Pablo Pradat M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Benjamin Pietri?
Our model gives 72% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.