Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Diogo Morais vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Diogo Morais · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Morais
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Morais
7-3 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Morais 1499 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1558
| Diogo Morais | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1499 vs 1558).
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Diogo Morais | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.2 | 13.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 74% |
| Break % | 41% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Francisco Guimaraes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Francisco Faria M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Porto |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Porto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Reece Falck M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 13/11 | David Fox UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/11 | Hugh Winter UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Morais vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 73% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.