Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Fernandes vs Tomas Quesada Perez
Team pages: Rodrigo Fernandes · Tomas Quesada Perez
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Fernandes
Tomas Quesada Perez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Fernandes
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Quesada Perez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Fernandes 1492 · Tomas Quesada Perez 1498
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Tomas Quesada Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rodrigo Fernandes makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Tomas Quesada Perez makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Tomas Quesada Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.3 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Fernandes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Aunion M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilya Ivashka M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Tomas Quesada Perez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Bader Alabdullah M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Finn Willman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 03/05 | Maxim Groysman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Fernandes vs Tomas Quesada Perez?
Our model gives 69% to Rodrigo Fernandes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.