Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1533 · Andrea Guerrieri 1557
| Soonwoo Kwon | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-12.4 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Luca Nardi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 62% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.