Tennis · M25 Santander · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
2-8 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1415 · Yanaki Milev 1471
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1415 vs 1471).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Yanaki Milev makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.8 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentino Conte M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Nico Hipfl M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 63% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.