Prediction: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Samuele Seghetti
Team pages: Gianmarco Ferrari · Samuele Seghetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianmarco Ferrari
Samuele Seghetti
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Samuele Seghetti
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianmarco Ferrari 1528 · Samuele Seghetti 1385
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianmarco Ferrari (rating 1528 vs 1385).
- Gianmarco Ferrari is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.7 | 9.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Samuele Seghetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/03 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianmarco Ferrari vs Samuele Seghetti?
Our model gives 77% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.