Tennis · M25 Lesa · 19/08, 11:00

Prediction: Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnetta

Team pages: Maxime Janvier · Daniele Rapagnetta

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Maxime Janvier Daniele Rapagnetta
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Janvier 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLLL
Daniele Rapagnetta 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxime Janvier 1459 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1488
Maxime JanvierDaniele Rapagnetta
Our model46%54%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Maxime JanvierDaniele Rapagnetta
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (9) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.61.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-13.910.8-11.3
Aces3.73.5
Double faults4.91.6
1st serve %66.7%63.8%
Break %31.4%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxime Janvier

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger San Marino · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
26/07 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
20/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/07 Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
12/07 Giammarco Gandolfi
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 13-16 L
29/06 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
28/06 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
21/06 Kaito Uesugi
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
16/06 Emilien Demanet
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Daniele Rapagnetta

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Todi · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
02/08 George Lazarov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio
1-2 13-17 L
18/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Gubbio
2-1 15-11 W
17/07 Maximilian Homberg
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-8 W
16/07 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-8 W
15/07 Lorenzo Rottoli
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 The Hague
1-2 9-14 L
02/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnetta?

Our model gives 52% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.