Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 21:00
Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1511 · Moez Echargui 1428
| Otto Virtanen | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1511 vs 1428).
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 44.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 11.9-14.3 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Jordan Lee ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Edas Butvilas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 74% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.