Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 21/08, 01:00
Prediction: Tomislav Edward Papac vs Sam Wensley
Team pages: Tomislav Edward Papac · Sam Wensley
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomislav Edward Papac
Sam Wensley
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tomislav Edward Papac
5-5 (W-L)
Sam Wensley
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomislav Edward Papac
1–0
Sam Wensley
(1 last)
- 29 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomislav Edward Papac 1468 · Sam Wensley 1469
| Tomislav Edward Papac | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tomislav Edward Papac 1–0 Sam Wensley (1).
- Note: Sam Wensley makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Tomislav Edward Papac | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.2 | 8.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 29.4% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Tomislav Edward Papac 1 – 0 Sam Wensley (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomislav Edward Papac 1–0 Sam Wensley
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomislav Edward Papac
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/03 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sam Wensley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Charlie Pade M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomislav Edward Papac vs Sam Wensley?
Our model gives 53% to Tomislav Edward Papac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.