Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 16:00
Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Rei Sakamoto
Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Rei Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Rei Sakamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov
1–2
Rei Sakamoto
(3 last)
- 19 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 12 Nov2-0 12-5W
- 28 Nov0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1517 · Rei Sakamoto 1541
| Jurij Rodionov | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 1–2 Rei Sakamoto (3).
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.8 | 13.8-13 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Jurij Rodionov 1 – 2 Rei Sakamoto (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 1–2 Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/24 Challenger Yokohama | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11/24 Challenger Kobe | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11/23 Challenger Yokkaichi | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Andrey Chepelev ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Rei Sakamoto?
Our model gives 55% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.