Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 16:00
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
6-4 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1500 · Justin Boulais 1441
| Benjamin Bonzi | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Bonzi (rating 1500 vs 1441).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.3 | 11.1-12.5 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 25.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 71% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.