Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Bu Yunchaokete
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0–1
Bu Yunchaokete
(1 last)
- 05 Apr0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1454 · Bu Yunchaokete 1537
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bu Yunchaokete (rating 1454 vs 1537).
- Bu Yunchaokete is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete (1).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.3 | 12.6-12 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0 – 1 Bu Yunchaokete (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 ATP Monte Carlo | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Hugo Dellien Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 63% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.