Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 19/08, 16:00
Prediction: Jesper De Jong vs Dane Sweeny
Team pages: Jesper De Jong · Dane Sweeny
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesper De Jong
Dane Sweeny
Estimated games
25.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jesper De Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Dane Sweeny
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesper De Jong 1512 · Dane Sweeny 1452
| Jesper De Jong | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesper De Jong (rating 1512 vs 1452).
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jesper De Jong | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.5 | 13.1-14.9 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 27% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesper De Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Rinky Hijikata Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 16/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 23-24 | W |
| 22/06 | Franco Roncadelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesper De Jong vs Dane Sweeny?
Our model gives 62% to Jesper De Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.