Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 22:00
Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinka
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Stan Wawrinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Stan Wawrinka
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
5-5 (W-L)
Stan Wawrinka
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1466 · Stan Wawrinka 1429
| Dalibor Svrcina | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 0.8-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.9 | 13.9-16 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 24.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 19/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Stan Wawrinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 07/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
| 20/05 | Alex Michelsen ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/05 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinka?
Our model gives 56% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.