Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 22:00
Prediction: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
4-6 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
0–1
Francisco Comesana
(1 last)
- 04 Jun1-2 10-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1439 · Francisco Comesana 1516
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Comesana (rating 1439 vs 1516).
- Head-to-head: Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0–1 Francisco Comesana (1).
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.3 | 17.6-16.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 24.7% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
H2H · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0 – 1 Francisco Comesana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0–1 Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/23 Challenger Vicenza | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-31 | L |
| 28/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Ethan Quinn French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
| 20/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Valentin Royer ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 50% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.